---
title: Prediki
type: platform
status: active
country: AT
website: https://www.prediki.com
logo: /assets/org-logos/prediki.svg
logo_bg: dark
contact:
  checked: 2026-08-01
  email: support@prediki.com
  source: https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/prediki-support/
summary: An Austrian prediction market platform that aggregates collective intelligence
  on political and policy questions — users make structured predictions with reasons,
  and the system surfaces the informed consensus.
concepts:
- democracy-tools
- prediction-markets
- cognitive-division-of-labour
- isegoria
location:
  latitude: 48.2082
  longitude: 16.3738
  name: Vienna, Austria
  precision: city
news_page: https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/Management-by-Predictions-(Prediki-Blog-in-English)/
events:
- date: '2011-12-30'
  title: Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH registered in Vienna
  url: https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/Legal-information
  quote: 'Registrar: Commercial Court of Vienna, FN 373457b, dated 30 December 2011'
  proof_level: high
  url_checked: '2026-08-17'
- date: '2012-01-01'
  title: Open prediction market platform goes online
  url: https://www.prediki.com
  note: Site copyright line dates the platform's operation to 2012; no explicit launch
    date is published.
  proof_level: medium
  url_checked: '2026-08-17'
- date: '2017-02-17'
  title: Publishes study showing its wahlfieber.com markets beat pollsters after Germany's
    2016 state elections
  url: https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/Prediction-Markets-A-Better-Alternative/
  quote: The prediction error on Prediki’s platform wahlfieber.com for example, only
    amounted to 1.87 percentage points, the average error of all German political
    stock markets came to an excellent 2.65 percentage points.
  proof_level: high
  url_checked: '2026-08-17'
activity:
  manual:
    checked: 2026-06-07
    date: 2022-09-30
    note: website active. News link https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/Management-by-Predictions-(Prediki-Blog-in-English)/
      . Last is at  Vienna, 30 September 2022 'Renewed Controversy About Election
      Polls'
    url: https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/Management-by-Predictions-(Prediki-Blog-in-English)/
  dod:
    checked: 2026-07-19
    date: 2026-07-19
    note: Prediction market platform live with active questions and participant engagement;
      footer copyright dated 2012-2022 but platform is operating.
    url: https://www.prediki.com
  rss:
    checked: 2026-08-17
    note: No feed found
  scrape:
    hint: unreachable
    checked: 2026-08-17
    date: 2022-09-30
    note: Latest news page scraped
    url: https://www.prediki.com/meta/en/Management-by-Predictions-(Prediki-Blog-in-English)/
last_checked: '2026-07-19'
---

Prediki (Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH) is a peer-to-peer platform for opinion research and collective intelligence, built around prediction market methodology. Rather than simple polling, participants make structured predictions about outcomes, stake a position, and provide reasons — the system aggregates these into probability estimates while tracking the quality of each contributor's predictions over time.

The platform was developed by Hubertus Hofkirchner, a DOD member who presented it at the [2017 Designing Open Democracy event](../../blog/posts/2017-08-21-podcast.md) alongside Nicolas Gruen.

## How it differs from polling

- **Reason capture** — participants specify why they are making a prediction, enabling sentiment and argument analysis
- **Reputation tracking** — contributors with better track records carry more weight
- **Argument mapping** — the system breaks down opinion clusters and the reasoning behind them visually

## Meine Stimme GILT

Hofkirchner is also an executive board member of **Meine Stimme GILT** ("My Voice Counts"), a non-partisan Austrian civic organisation focused on decentralising collective political decision-making.

## Links

- Website: [prediki.com](https://www.prediki.com)

## See also

- [Prediction Markets](../concepts/prediction-markets.md)
- [Cognitive Division of Labour](../concepts/cognitive-division-of-labour.md)
- [Isegoria](../concepts/isegoria.md)
- [GILT](gilt.md)